In this picture is raining very strong and is almost night. Many people are waiting in the bus stop, maybe eight or nine. They look cold. One woman have a yellow coat and she is looking inside her bag, I think for umbrella, but she don't find. And the tree is moving because the wind is strong. Also the red bus is coming in the street. So next, I think the bus will come and all the people will go inside, because inside is warm. The boy with the newspaper on his head, he will run also.
Speaking Task 4: Making Predictions
Speaking Task 4: Making Predictions is part of the Speaking section of the CELPIP General test. You get 30 seconds to prepare and 60 seconds to speak. It is scored on Content / Coherence, Vocabulary, Listenability, Task Fulfillment.
- Preparation
- 30 seconds
- Speaking time
- 60 seconds
- Prompts here
- 25 published
The three-move prediction
- 1
One line on the scene, then stop describing
Task 4 is not Task 3. Describing for thirty seconds costs you the part being scored.
- 2
Predict, with the clue that makes it likely
Our CLB 11 answer reads the crowd, not the weather: "the real subject of this picture isn't the rain, it's the waiting."
- 3
Hedge the least certain prediction
"Probably", "I imagine", "it looks as though" are not weakness here — they are the grammar the task is testing.
Every prediction needs the clue it came from.
An unsupported guess scores as description, not prediction.
Equip yourself with the future forms, modal verbs and probability language you need to predict what happens next in a picture for CELPIP Speaking Task 4.
Task 4 follows on from the scene in Task 3: you predict what will happen next. Lean on future modals (will, might, is going to) and probability adverbs (likely, probably) to show a range of certainty.
- Briefly describe the scene.
- Make clear predictions about what will happen.
- Use future forms: "will", "is going to", "probably".
- Give reasons for your predictions.
- 1Spending most of the time on what the picture shows rather than what happens next.
- 2Making one prediction and then repeating it in different words.
- 3Using only "will", when the task rewards a range of future forms.
- Content / Coherence
- Whether your ideas are relevant, developed and logically ordered.
- Vocabulary
- The range and accuracy of your word choice under time pressure.
- Listenability
- How easy you are to follow as speech: grammar, flow, pacing, pauses and fillers.
- Task Fulfillment
- Whether you answered the actual question and covered what was asked.
These are the answers our scorer was calibrated against. Reading a CLB 5 beside a CLB 11 for the same prompt is the fastest way to see what a level actually means. CLB 9 is marked as the target because it is the level that earns maximum language points for Express Entry.
In the picture it is raining very hard and there are a lot of people standing under the bus shelter. It is evening and the street lamps are already on. A woman in a yellow coat is looking inside her bag. I think she is trying to find her umbrella. On the left side there is a red bus coming, but it is still far away. So I think the bus will arrive in a few minutes and everybody will get on it very fast. They will push a little because they all want to be inside first. The boy who is holding a newspaper over his head will be wet already.
So this picture shows a bus stop on a city street during a heavy autumn rainstorm, and it is already getting dark. Eight or nine people are pressed together under the glass shelter, and they all look cold and impatient. At the front, a woman in a mustard coat is digging through her tote bag, probably looking for umbrella. What I think will happen next is that the red bus will finally pull up, because it is already coming down the flooded road with its headlights on. Everybody will move forward at the same time, and the ones at back will get pushed out into the rain. The woman will give up on the bag, because she will not need umbrella once she is on the bus. And the teenager with the newspaper will be the wettest one.
The real subject of this picture isn't the rain, it's the waiting. Eight or nine strangers are packed under one glass roof with nothing in common except that red bus, still crawling towards them through a flooded street. So the next minute belongs to the bus. It'll reach the kerb and throw a sheet of dirty water over whoever is standing nearest the edge, and the moment the doors open the polite little truce under that shelter will collapse and everybody will push forward at once. The woman in the mustard coat will give up on the umbrella unfound, because there's no dignity in rummaging through a tote bag while a queue forms behind you. The lad outside will climb aboard with his newspaper reduced to pulp. And I doubt a word gets said; they'll just steam quietly all the way home, while that young tree keeps stripping leaves onto the road behind them.
Now do it yourself and find out where you land
A model answer shows you the target. It cannot tell you whether your own response hits it — that is a CLB level for each criterion, with the sentences that earned it.
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Create your free account →- How certain should my predictions sound?
- Vary your certainty. Use strong forms ("will", "is going to") for obvious outcomes and hedged forms ("might", "could", "probably") for less certain ones — the range itself demonstrates control.
- What is the difference between Task 3 and Task 4 vocabulary?
- Task 3 describes the present scene; Task 4 projects into the future, so it relies on modal verbs and prediction phrases rather than location language.
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