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Speaking Task 4: Making Predictions

Speaking Task 4: Making Predictions is part of the Speaking section of the CELPIP General test. You get 30 seconds to prepare and 60 seconds to speak. It is scored on Content / Coherence, Vocabulary, Listenability, Task Fulfillment.

Preparation
30 seconds
Speaking time
60 seconds
Prompts here
25 published

The three-move prediction

  1. 1

    One line on the scene, then stop describing

    Task 4 is not Task 3. Describing for thirty seconds costs you the part being scored.

  2. 2

    Predict, with the clue that makes it likely

    Our CLB 11 answer reads the crowd, not the weather: "the real subject of this picture isn't the rain, it's the waiting."

  3. 3

    Hedge the least certain prediction

    "Probably", "I imagine", "it looks as though" are not weakness here — they are the grammar the task is testing.

Every prediction needs the clue it came from.

An unsupported guess scores as description, not prediction.

Equip yourself with the future forms, modal verbs and probability language you need to predict what happens next in a picture for CELPIP Speaking Task 4.

Task 4 follows on from the scene in Task 3: you predict what will happen next. Lean on future modals (will, might, is going to) and probability adverbs (likely, probably) to show a range of certainty.

What raters reward here
  • Briefly describe the scene.
  • Make clear predictions about what will happen.
  • Use future forms: "will", "is going to", "probably".
  • Give reasons for your predictions.
Three mistakes that cost points heremost common first
  1. 1Spending most of the time on what the picture shows rather than what happens next.
  2. 2Making one prediction and then repeating it in different words.
  3. 3Using only "will", when the task rewards a range of future forms.
How Speaking is scored
Content / Coherence
Whether your ideas are relevant, developed and logically ordered.
Vocabulary
The range and accuracy of your word choice under time pressure.
Listenability
How easy you are to follow as speech: grammar, flow, pacing, pauses and fillers.
Task Fulfillment
Whether you answered the actual question and covered what was asked.
Model answersthe same prompt, four levels

These are the answers our scorer was calibrated against. Reading a CLB 5 beside a CLB 11 for the same prompt is the fastest way to see what a level actually means. CLB 9 is marked as the target because it is the level that earns maximum language points for Express Entry.

CLB 597 words

In this picture is raining very strong and is almost night. Many people are waiting in the bus stop, maybe eight or nine. They look cold. One woman have a yellow coat and she is looking inside her bag, I think for umbrella, but she don't find. And the tree is moving because the wind is strong. Also the red bus is coming in the street. So next, I think the bus will come and all the people will go inside, because inside is warm. The boy with the newspaper on his head, he will run also.

CLB 7112 words

In the picture it is raining very hard and there are a lot of people standing under the bus shelter. It is evening and the street lamps are already on. A woman in a yellow coat is looking inside her bag. I think she is trying to find her umbrella. On the left side there is a red bus coming, but it is still far away. So I think the bus will arrive in a few minutes and everybody will get on it very fast. They will push a little because they all want to be inside first. The boy who is holding a newspaper over his head will be wet already.

CLB 9target138 words

So this picture shows a bus stop on a city street during a heavy autumn rainstorm, and it is already getting dark. Eight or nine people are pressed together under the glass shelter, and they all look cold and impatient. At the front, a woman in a mustard coat is digging through her tote bag, probably looking for umbrella. What I think will happen next is that the red bus will finally pull up, because it is already coming down the flooded road with its headlights on. Everybody will move forward at the same time, and the ones at back will get pushed out into the rain. The woman will give up on the bag, because she will not need umbrella once she is on the bus. And the teenager with the newspaper will be the wettest one.

CLB 11154 words

The real subject of this picture isn't the rain, it's the waiting. Eight or nine strangers are packed under one glass roof with nothing in common except that red bus, still crawling towards them through a flooded street. So the next minute belongs to the bus. It'll reach the kerb and throw a sheet of dirty water over whoever is standing nearest the edge, and the moment the doors open the polite little truce under that shelter will collapse and everybody will push forward at once. The woman in the mustard coat will give up on the umbrella unfound, because there's no dignity in rummaging through a tote bag while a queue forms behind you. The lad outside will climb aboard with his newspaper reduced to pulp. And I doubt a word gets said; they'll just steam quietly all the way home, while that young tree keeps stripping leaves onto the road behind them.

Now do it yourself and find out where you land

A model answer shows you the target. It cannot tell you whether your own response hits it — that is a CLB level for each criterion, with the sentences that earned it.

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Questions people ask
How certain should my predictions sound?
Vary your certainty. Use strong forms ("will", "is going to") for obvious outcomes and hedged forms ("might", "could", "probably") for less certain ones — the range itself demonstrates control.
What is the difference between Task 3 and Task 4 vocabulary?
Task 3 describes the present scene; Task 4 projects into the future, so it relies on modal verbs and prediction phrases rather than location language.
The other 24 Making Predictions prompts1 free
  • ·What Happens Next at the Station
  • ·What Happens Next on the Christmas Street
  • ·The Rest of the Family's Evening
  • ·What Happens Next in the Thanksgiving Backyard
  • ·What Happens Next in the Library
  • ·What Happens Next in the Downtown Parade
  • ·Finishing the Park Cleanup
  • ·After the Energy Lesson
  • ·The Rest of the Day at Sea
  • ·After the Light Changes
  • ·The Afternoon in the Park
  • ·The Snow Keeps Falling
  • ·Finishing the Workout
  • ·After the Meeting
  • ·What Happens Next in the Online Meeting
  • ·Closing the Sale
  • ·What Happens After the Spilled Coffee
  • ·What Happens Next on the City Street
  • ·What Happens Next at the Airport
  • ·What Happens Next at a Job Fair
  • ·What Happens Next at the Beach
  • ·What Happens Next at the Doorstep
  • ·What Happens Next in the Park
  • ·Will He Catch the Train?
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